San Martín BurzacovsDeportivo Merlo

San Martín Burzaco are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Merlo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Burzaco hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while San Martín Burzaco holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.