GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 4/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martín Burzaco are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Defensores Unidos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martín Burzaco hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martín BurzacoWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores UnidosWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San Martín BurzacoDefensores Unidos
31.1Attack27.6
66.7Defence59.8
41.1Form29.9
47.8Power41.5
0.83xG0.50
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