San Martin TucumanvsDeportivo Maipu

San Martin Tucuman are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Maipu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Maipu hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.