San Martin Tucumanvs
Deportivo Madryn
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin Tucuman are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Madryn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Madryn hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
28.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80