GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/16/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Martin Tucuman are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Madryn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Madryn hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

28.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Martin TucumanDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo MadrynWWDDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Martin TucumanDeportivo Madryn
30.6Attack43.5
72.2Defence68.1
43.1Form52.2
50.3Power56.7
0.62xG0.68
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