San Martin Tucumanvs
Chacarita Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 4/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin Tucuman are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Chacarita Juniors are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Tucuman hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80