San Martin S.J.vs
Quilmes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 4/25/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin S.J. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Quilmes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 49.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00