San Martin S.J.vs
Chacarita Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 7/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin S.J. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chacarita Juniors are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin S.J. hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20