San Martin S.J.vs
Atletico DE Rafaela
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 8/1/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Martin S.J. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico DE Rafaela are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.3 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20