San Martin FormosavsSarmiento de La Banda

San Martin Formosa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin Formosa hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (64.4 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Torneo Federal A, while San Martin Formosa holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.