GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Molinos El Pirata · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

San Marcos are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Molinos El Pirata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Molinos El Pirata hold a 49.4-point power-rating edge (10.9 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Segunda División, while Molinos El Pirata holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Molinos El Pirata

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Molinos El Pirata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San MarcosLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 22 · avg 0.40/4.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Molinos El PirataLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San MarcosMolinos El Pirata
6.7Attack54.5
0.0Defence60.6
0.0Form60.6
10.9Power60.3
0.80xG2.12
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