GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 8/13/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Marcos de Arica are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union San Felipe are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos de Arica

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

20.3%

San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Marcos de AricaDLDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Union San FelipeDLLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
42.6Attack25.9
75.9Defence37.0
55.6Form31.5
59.7Power34.0
1.85xG0.34
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