San Marcos de Aricavs
Santiago Wanderers
COMPLETEDChile · Primera B · 3/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Marcos de Arica are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Santiago Wanderers are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago Wanderers hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60