GGOALVIO

Chile · Copa Chile · 7/11/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

San Luis are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while U. Catolica are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Copa Chile, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

U. Catolica

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San LuisDLDWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
U. CatolicaWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
San LuisU. Catolica
61.1Attack77.8
44.4Defence50.0
33.3Form83.3
46.0Power70.7
1.73xG2.19
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