San Lorenzovs
Velez Sarsfield
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/20/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Velez Sarsfield are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00