San LorenzovsIndependiente

San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Independiente are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.