San Lorenzovs
Gimnasia M.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Lorenzo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gimnasia M. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20