GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 4/3/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

San Lorenzo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estudiantes L.P. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San LorenzoDWLDD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes L.P.WWLLW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
San LorenzoEstudiantes L.P.
25.4Attack34.9
69.8Defence79.4
41.3Form54.0
48.1Power56.9
0.36xG0.60
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