San LorenzovsDeportivo Recoleta

San Lorenzo are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Recoleta are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.