San Lorenzo Res.vs
Barracas Central Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Lorenzo Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
San Lorenzo Res. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Barracas Central Res. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo Res. hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Reserve League, while San Lorenzo Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Lorenzo Res.
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
20.3%
San Lorenzo Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60