San Jose Earthquakesvs
San Diego
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/5/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while San Diego are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00