GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Timbers are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 77.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

12.0%

Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose EarthquakesWLWLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portland TimbersDDLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose EarthquakesPortland Timbers
57.1Attack60.0
52.4Defence80.0
61.9Form86.7
58.8Power77.7
1.44xG1.66
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