GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Orlando City SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.7% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

74.7%

Model confidence

74.7%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose EarthquakesLWLLD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Orlando City SCLDWLW

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
66.7Attack55.6
52.6Defence13.0
57.9Form37.0
58.9Power36.6
3.81xG1.37
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