San Jose Earthquakesvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/26/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
San Jose Earthquakes are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40