San Jose Earthquakesvs
FC Dallas
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/17/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Dallas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40