GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Tijuana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Club Tijuana are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Tijuana hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Club Tijuana holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Tijuana

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

10.7%

Club Tijuana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose EarthquakesWLLDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Club TijuanaDWDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana
57.1Attack77.8
52.4Defence66.7
61.9Form66.7
58.8Power69.4
1.70xG1.72
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