San Jose Earthquakesvs
Austin
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/23/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
San Jose Earthquakes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Austin are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.1% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Jose Earthquakes
Probability
74.1%
Model confidence
74.1%
San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80