GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting KC II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

81.9%

Model confidence

81.9%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose Earthquakes IIWLWDL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting KC IILLWLL

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
San Jose Earthquakes IISporting KC II
65.0Attack43.9
58.3Defence16.7
48.3Form28.8
56.0Power32.5
3.80xG0.96
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