GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 6/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

San Jose Earthquakes II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Real Monarchs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Jose Earthquakes IIDLDWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real MonarchsLWWDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose Earthquakes IIReal Monarchs
65.0Attack47.0
58.3Defence36.4
48.3Form33.3
56.0Power40.0
2.85xG1.05
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