San Diego Wave Wvs
Washington Spirit W
COMPLETEDUSA · NWSL Women · 5/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Diego Wave W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Washington Spirit W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Washington Spirit W hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 62.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the NWSL Women, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40