GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

San Diego Wave W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Denver Summit W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego Wave W

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

14.4%

San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego Wave WLWLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Denver Summit WWLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San Diego Wave WDenver Summit W
42.1Attack44.4
64.9Defence55.6
56.1Form42.6
56.4Power49.1
1.23xG0.83
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