GGOALVIO

USA · NWSL Women · 5/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego Wave W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Diego Wave W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bay FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego Wave W hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the NWSL Women, while San Diego Wave W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego Wave W

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

San Diego Wave W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San Diego Wave WLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Bay FCLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
San Diego Wave WBay FC
41.7Attack35.1
65.0Defence52.6
55.0Form33.3
55.9Power42.1
1.32xG0.64
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