GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/24/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

San Diego are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San DiegoDWDDL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Vancouver WhitecapsLWDDW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
57.9Attack74.5
49.1Defence66.7
42.1Form66.7
49.6Power68.4
1.18xG2.22
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