San Diegovs
Vancouver Whitecaps
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/24/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vancouver Whitecaps · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
San Diego are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Vancouver Whitecaps are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vancouver Whitecaps hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Vancouver Whitecaps holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vancouver Whitecaps
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Vancouver Whitecaps has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20