San DiegovsSan Jose Earthquakes

San Diego are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.