San Diegovs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/12/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Diego are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00