Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
San Diego are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FC Dallas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
10.2%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80