San Diegovs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/17/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
San Diego are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.6 against 50.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60