San Diegovs
CF Montreal
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 3:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
San Diego are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Diego
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20