GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/22/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Diego · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

San Diego are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CF Montreal are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Diego hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Diego

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

San Diego has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San DiegoWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CF MontrealLWWLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
San DiegoCF Montreal
57.9Attack44.4
49.1Defence35.2
42.1Form29.6
49.6Power37.8
2.52xG1.21
View match centre →