San Antoniovs
Sacramento Republic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/24/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
San Antonio are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sacramento Republic are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.5 against 55.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80