San Antoniovs
Monterey Bay
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
San Antonio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.8% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Antonio
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00