San Antoniovs
Lexington
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
San Antonio are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lexington are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Antonio
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
14.6%
San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80