San AntoniovsLas Vegas Lights

San Antonio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.