GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

San Antonio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Antonio

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San AntonioWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Indy ElevenLLLWD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
San AntonioIndy Eleven
45.6Attack39.2
63.2Defence58.8
56.1Form43.1
57.5Power49.1
1.24xG0.77
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