GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

San Antonio are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the USL Championship, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Antonio

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

14.0%

San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

San AntonioDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
El Paso LocomotiveWWLWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
San AntonioEl Paso Locomotive
45.6Attack50.9
63.2Defence52.6
56.1Form49.1
57.5Power52.0
1.41xG1.01
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