Samtskhe AkhaltsikhevsGagra

Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Gagra are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe hold a 57.7-point power-rating edge (64.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the David Kipiani Cup, while Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.