Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sioni · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Samtredia are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sioni are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sioni hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Sioni holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sioni
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Sioni has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20