Samtrediavs
Merani Martvili
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 4/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Samtredia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Merani Martvili are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60