Samsunsporvs
Göztepe
SCHEDULEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Göztepe · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Samsunspor are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Goztepe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Goztepe hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Süper Lig, while Goztepe holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Göztepe
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
14.0%
Göztepe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20