Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sampdoria · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sampdoria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Taverne are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampdoria hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sampdoria holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sampdoria
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Sampdoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40