GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sampaio Correa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Correa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Parnahyba are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Correa hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Serie D, while Sampaio Correa holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sampaio Correa

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Sampaio Correa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio CorreaDLDLD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
ParnahybaWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio CorreaParnahyba
38.9Attack36.1
75.0Defence55.6
44.4Form47.2
52.8Power48.8
1.12xG0.49
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