GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/24/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sampaio Correa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sampaio Correa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Moto Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Correa hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.1% in the Serie D, while Sampaio Correa holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sampaio Correa

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

24.1%

Sampaio Correa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sampaio CorreaWDLDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Moto ClubDLWDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio CorreaMoto Club
38.9Attack26.7
75.0Defence50.0
44.4Form30.0
52.8Power37.9
1.30xG0.35
View match centre →